Welcome to 2019! Will it be a repeat of 2018 or something very different?

OK, let's start the year with a contest. To enter, you have to email me (no later than noon on Saturday, January 5) with your guess as to the closing price of the S&P 500 stock index (SPX) on December 19, 2019. Whoever is closest gets some good prize...The winner and I will figure out something worthy of a year-long contest once it's over. It's just too hard to keep track of entries by tweet and text so I'm only accepting entries by email. So email me at ross(at)khow(dot)com including your guess as to the price of the SPX at the end of the trading day on 12/19, along with your full name and, if you don't mind, a cell phone number (in case your email has changed a year from now.)

I'm open to other long-term contests so if you have an idea for one, please send it in.

One thing I wonder about 2019 is whether it will feel very similar to 2018 or very different. My guess is the former, though heading into a crazy Democratic presidential primary (and maybe even a slightly contested GOP primary, assuming President Trump runs for re-election) will be quite different. Other potential big difference makers (for national politics) include the end of the Mueller investigation, whatever comes out of the Southern District of New York's investigations, a deal (or lack thereof) with China regarding trade, a decision by Democrats in the House to impeach Trump (and whether there is enough new negative information to make removing him even a slight possibility which at this point is extremely doubtful), a fast major move in the stock market (in either direction), and plenty of other things which I haven't written or even thought of. 

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I very much enjoyed (and needed) the last 10 days or so of vacation and mostly resting my voice. I talk too loudly all the time, and if I'm going to do this radio thing for the long run I have to fix that. I mean, we have amplifiers for a reason, right?

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Jasper and I spent 5 days in Dallas. We did a lot, but by the time we were done with the trip, I felt as if we did pretty much everything we wanted to do in the city, including the Perot Science Museum, the Dallas World Aquarium, the Dallas Museum of Art, the Sixth Floor Museum (covering the Kennedy assassination), a Mavericks NBA game (they beat the New Orleans Pelicans by 3 in a very tight game), some great food including a memorable meal at Musume, and more. Overall, I'd say the city isn't as exciting as some, and it sure was a lot colder than I'd hoped but still we had a great time.

Lili is spending her entire winter break in Australia with her grandma, so Kristen got a few welcome days of peace and quiet...just her and Reuben in the house.

i always enjoy the fireworks from Australia's New Year's Eve celebration. I lived for about 18 months less than half a mile from the Sydney Harbour Bridge but I never saw the fireworks in person. I did do the pretty cool Bridge Climb though!

 

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